9/29/10 — Just as the baseball playoff teams are coming into clear view, so are the contending movies for Best Picture. The expanded Academy Awards category means room again this year for 10 nominees, making it simultaneously easier and harder to narrow the field. Here are our predictions for the 10 movies that will get nominated — ordered by likelihood of winning — followed by five flicks with BP buzz we don't think have a chance.
1. True Grit
Directed by: Joel Coen
, Ethan Coen
Stars: Jeff Bridges
, Matt Damon
, Josh Brolin
Adaptation of the Charles Portis novel
, and remake of the 1969 movie
that won John Wayne a Best Actor Oscar, about a teenage girl who enlists the aid of a boozy, trigger-happy lawman to hunt down her father's killer before a Texas Ranger finds him first.
Why It's a Contender:
The movie doesn't release until Christmas. No one has seen it. Yet, we're picking it as the favorite to win Best Picture with its Oscar-winning combination of directors (The Coen Brothers) and cast (Jeff Bridges and Matt Damon). Plus, it will be the most recent memory for Academy members before they cast their votes.