The Oscars are still months away, but that doesn’t mean we don’t already have a surprisingly good idea what voters will be picking. A few of these pictures have already been released, but as usual most of the real front-runners have been kept for the final weeks of the year. The assumption is that voters usually choose whatever happened to be the last flick they saw in theaters (which, sadly, seems to be true in quite a few cases). The expanded Academy Awards Best Picture category once again means that up to 10 movies may be nominated.
Here are our predictions for the 10 movies that will get Best Picture nominations, ordered by likelihood of winning, followed by five more that we think won’t quite make the cut